So long as predictions remain popular, and are so numerous as they are today – and so long as they receive notoriety through repetition in the press and on the radio – contrary opinions will increase in importance as thinking aids. “
The last time the Federal Reserve was faced with raising interest rates - on a secular basis - was almost 60 years ago. Of course, no one could have imagined, three generations later, it would happen again. Both times it was thought to be a cyclical or “transitory experience.” In 1965 Fed funds were 1% on a 17-year journey to 20%! This resulted...
As we pause to reflect on the sacrifices of so many for our great country this Memorial Day weekend, we wanted to take a moment to provide our thoughts and perspectives on the recent volatility across the capital markets landscape.
Reality is beginning to set in as Fed sanctioned risk taking is clearly coming to an end. Persistent,...
When a phrase of two words becomes famous, it’s not only apt to be truthful but powerfully accurate. “Creative destruction” was first articulated by Austrian economist Joseph Schumpter in 1942. He used the phrase to describe capitalism. It meant any innovation in the manufacturing process which increased productivity. Schumpter intended the...
Those who are born mathematically “gifted” often develop an elitist attitude. Society reinforces that with movies such as “A Brilliant Mind” (John Nash) and “The Theory of Everything” (Stephen Hawkins). M.I.T. Professor Paul Samuelson personified this cultural mindset when he said, “When the worst economics grad student leaves M.I.T. and goes...
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